Monday, 11 December 2017

Brexit wreck

So apparently there has been a "breakthrough" with the Brexit negotiations.

The first step of negotiation is to know your position, specifically how strong it is. In the Western world, if you go into a shop which has marked prices (such as a supermarket) and you begin to haggle, you'll just get kicked out. This is because you don't have a strong position: the shop doesn't really need you. If you go to buy a car from a small business, then you can haggle, because your position is much stronger: they want to sell a car, and the profit they still receive is more important than the loss by a small reduction in price.

Politicians seem far too used to spending taxpayers' money with their enormous expenses, that they have no clue how to haggle. When it comes to Brexit, remember that the EU didn't want the UK to leave. Why? Because it sets a precedent: other countries may follow suit.

The breakup of the EU is a great step forward for countries to regain control of themselves, no longer being governed by a group of political elite from a conference room a long, long way away from the real situations. Of course, it would also prevent the EU from becoming a superpower, meaning there is no possibility for the EU leader to suddenly have control over many countries and very large land mass of the earth. In other words, the end of the EU is a step forward for democracy.

Now, the EU (the MEPs, to be specific) doesn't want that. Of course not. Why? Because their jobs only exist if there's an EU. These people (all politicians, remember) like having a huge expenses bill, and it's all paid for by money given to the EU by each individual country. They don't just get to spend their own taxpayers' money, they get to spend others' too! They get to travel all over the place, have a second house they can rent out because they hardly ever live there, have food provided at many functions (or eat out at expensive restaurants), stay in top quality hotels... essentially living a life of luxury, and when they retire, to have a huge amount of savings and investments because they've destroyed the government pension... and they don't want to give up that lifestyle!

Unfortunately, UK politicians are so blinded that they don't see that EU politicians are just the same as them, if not worse (because it's a larger scale). And that's the problem.

This "breakthrough" deal includes an EU "divorce bill" upwards of £35 billion.

If the UK parliament realised their strong position, they would know that they could just say, "We're leaving, that's that." Sure, there would be some repercussions... a trade deal might be lost, but the saving of so much money would be a great thing to help the UK economy to stay strong.

Or is it about people? It wouldn't be too difficult to put forward a plan to allow EU nationals who are already in the UK to remain (at least for a time, if not permanently), but to have stricter measures at the borders. After all, Trump managed to get a travel ban implemented rather quickly when he became president of the US. It wouldn't be a major hiccup.

But, at the end of the day, the "divorce bill" of such an amount is a complete joke. The EU has essentially managed to say, "You want to leave? We'll make you pay!" and the UK government have simply responded, "Okay."

What if we didn't pay? What would happen if we stopped the payments immediately?

Nothing.

Really? Why? Well, quite simply, what could the EU do? They only response would be to go to war over it. But in these modern times, who goes to war over money? It wouldn't seem justified. At any rate, if there was a war, the EU would need to spend a large chunk of that money to wage that war. Would they really want that? No, of course not.

And if a war were to be the response of the EU, it would be easy enough to call upon other countries who don't like the EU for help. The EU wouldn't stand a chance.

In conclusion, this "breakthrough Brexit deal" is a complete shambles, all due to self-centred politicians (many of whom didn't want to leave in the first place) who didn't realise the strength of the UK position. And with the UK suffering such a financial loss, they will be able to say to the country, "We told you we shouldn't have left."

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